الفهرس Only 14 pages are availabe for public view
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Abstract
A sensitivity study of atmospheric model simulations to various cumulus parameterization schemes is an important in numerical weather prediction. This study evaluates the ability of the Weather Research Forecast model to reproduce the observed rainfall amounts and distribution over the topographically varied region of the Horn of Africa. A mixed-physics ensemble approach has been investigated as a method to better predict mesoscale convective system (MCS) rainfall. For both mixed-physics ensemble design and interpretation knowledge of the general impact of various physical schemes and their interactions on warm season MCS rainfall forecasts would be useful. Indeed, given the importance of precipitation forecasts over Nile Basin, one of the main objectives was to study the predictability and simulation of convection by the Weather Research Forecast model