الفهرس 
Forecasting mortality rates and modeling longevity risk for life annuities using lee-carter mode
”Lee -Carter” التنبؤ بمعدلات الوفاة وتطورها مع قياس خطر طول العمر : بالتطبيق علي نظام المعاشات في سوق التأمين المصري باستخدم نموذجOnly 14 pages are availabe for public view
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Abstract
Mortality assumptions are important to many areas of actuarial practice such as life insurance business and maintenance of private and public pension programs. In recent years the actuaries{u2019} problem regarding mortality assumptions is that people are living longer than they were expected according to the life tables being used for actuarial computations by life insurance companies and pension funds for decades, which is known as2Longevity Risk3 where unexpected level of mortality improvement has become an increasing challenge for life annuities business. Mortality assumptions used by actuaries in pricing and reserving life annuity products in Egypt is based on foreign life tables and ignoring the improvement in mortality rates overtime that could lead to severe solvency issues for annuity providers in Egypt. As a result, the need for robust and reliable models for mortality projection has become a growing issue among actuaries and policy makers