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العنوان
Assessing the impact of uncertainty on private investment in Egypt :
الناشر
Sahar Shawky Sallam ,
المؤلف
Sahar Shawky Sallam
هيئة الاعداد
باحث / Sahar Shawky Sallam
مشرف / Alaa Essam ElShazly
مناقش / ُEhab Ibrahim Eldesouky
مناقش / Fakhr Eldin Elfeky
تاريخ النشر
2019
عدد الصفحات
89 P. ;
اللغة
الإنجليزية
الدرجة
الدكتوراه
التخصص
الإقتصاد ، الإقتصاد والمالية (متفرقات)
تاريخ الإجازة
27/8/2019
مكان الإجازة
جامعة القاهرة - كلية العلوم - Economics
الفهرس
Only 14 pages are availabe for public view

from 113

from 113

Abstract

This research studies the determinants of private investment in Egypt while accounting for uncertainty associated with financing decisions of the firm using time series analysis over the period 1982-2015. The analysis is based on Tobin{u2019}s (1969) Q-theory of investment. The empirical results of a vector error correction model (VECM) show that the value of the firm and to a lesser extent the availability of finance, whether internal or external, have a positive impact on investment. In contrast, changes in the price of capital goods exert a negative impact on investment. This can be attributed to exchange risk from financing the foreign component of investment in the form of imported capital goods mainly through bank loans. Thus, foreign exchange market reforms as adopted recently in the Egyptian economy and improvements in the trade balance are important steps towards greater stability in the pound exchange rate and hence a more favorable investment climate