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العنوان
إستخدام نموذج الإنحدار اللوجستي متعدد الأوجه في تحليل محددات إستخدام وسائل تنظيم الأسرة في العراق /
المؤلف
النيازي، سهير جميل مشرف.
هيئة الاعداد
باحث / سهير جميل مشرف النيازي
مشرف / زهدي محمد نوفل
مشرف / وفاء عبد العزيز حسين
مناقش / محمد نجيب عبد الفتاح
الموضوع
الإحصاء التطبيقي. تنظيم النسل.
تاريخ النشر
2020.
عدد الصفحات
71 ص. :
اللغة
العربية
الدرجة
ماجستير
التخصص
الرياضيات
تاريخ الإجازة
31/12/2020
مكان الإجازة
اتحاد مكتبات الجامعات المصرية - إحصاء
الفهرس
يوجد فقط 14 صفحة متاحة للعرض العام

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المستخلص

Studying the determinants of contraceptive use is important for understanding how well family planning programs address woman’s needs and concerns. Family planning enhances maternal and child health, as it is one of components of Reproductive Health. Offering a good counseling for contraceptive users has great influence in reducing unintended pregnancy and abortion. About 43.5% of currently married women in Iraq used family planning methods in 2000, and this percentage increased to 52.8% in 2018, with an increase of about 22% (World Bank, 2020).
The Total fertility rate in Iraq was 3.7 births per woman in 2018. The unmet need of family planning increased from 8% in 2011 to 14.3% in 2018 (World Bank, 2020). Therefore, there is a need to reduce the high level of total fertility rate and unmet need of family planning in Iraq. And this can be achieved by raising the prevalence of effective and appropriate family planning methods among women and reducing the percentage of unmet need. This study interested in not only identifying the determinants of using family planning methods or not, but also identifying and estimating the effect of determinants of using modern and traditional methods separately versus non-use in Iraq.
The current study is divided into five chapters, the first chapter dealt with the study introduction, its problem, its importance, its assumptions, its aims, data sources and the study sample, the second chapter reviewed previous studies, the theoretical framework and the study methodology, the third chapter explored the selected background characteristics of the currently married women according to current use of family planning methods in Iraq, the fourth chapter dealt with the determinants of using family planning methods through the multiple Multinomial logistic regression model in Iraq, and the fifth chapter discuss the summary and study recommendations.
The study aims to examine the relationship between the woman’s socio-economic, demographic, and cultural characteristics and using family planning methods. As well as identifying the determinants of using family planning methods among currently married Iraqi women using the multiple multinomial logistic regression model.
This study based on the data of the Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS 2018) in Iraq. The survey provides statistically sound and internationally comparable data essential for developing evidence-based policies and programmes, and for monitoring progress toward national goals and global commitments.
The dependent variable in this study is the current use of family planning. It has three categories (1 = not used, 2 = using a traditional method, 3 = using a modern method). Therefore, multiple Multinomial logistic regression model was used. Two equation parameters were estimated: (using traditional family planning methods versus non-use) and the model (using modern family planning methods versus non-use). The parameters of multiple Multinomial logistic regression model were estimated by maximum likelihood function.
The analysis of the study based on the currently married women (15-49) years old in Iraq who did not report any problem in their fecundity. The results showed that the 56.9% of currently married women (15-49) years old in Iraq are currently use any family planning method. About 38.9% of them use of modern method and the rest use traditional methods (18%) in 2018.
The percentage of women with highest level of education are currently using traditional methods is about 24.7%, while 33.1% of them are currently using modern methods. The percentage of women with lowest level of education (lower than primary education) are currently use family methods are about 14.2% for traditional and 40.5% for modern methods.
Concerning wealth index, 20.6% of rich women are currently use traditional methods and 37.2% of them are currently use modern methods while 13.3% of poor women are currently use traditional methods and 41.8% of them are currently use modern methods.
For region, 12.4% of women in central and southern Iraq are currently use traditional methods, while 41.7% of them are currently use modern methods, and for women in Kurdistan region, the percentage of women are currently use traditional methods and modern methods are 42.4% and 26.4% respectively.
The study also showed that a woman with an intermediate education or higher, who does not have a deceased child, aged 18-22 years at the first marriage and has four children or more, and woman using the Internet have a greater opportunity to use traditional family planning methods and modern methods versus non-use contraceptives. The difference between the two equations that a wealthy woman has a greater chance of using traditional family planning methods versus non-use contraceptives, while a middle-class woman has a greater chance of using modern family planning methods. Women who lived in Kurdistan region have a greater opportunity to use traditional family planning methods versus non-use, compared to women lived in central and southern region. Therefore, we should pay attention to raise the level of education, improve the standard of living, and paying more attention to Iraqi central and southern regions, as well as woman who have more than three children.