الفهرس 
سياسات تحقيق الاستقرار الاقتصادي في مدارس الفكر بين النظرية والتطبيقيوجد فقط 14 صفحة متاحة للعرض العام
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المستخلص
Abstract
Dissertation title: Activating Economic Stability Policies As A Basis For Economic Growth In Egypt (A Comparative, Quantitative Analytical Study Using The Financial Programming), PhD in economics, Ain Shams University, Faculty of Commerce-Economic 2016.
The main target of this dissertation is to study and analyze how to activate the formulation and implementation of economic stability policies, which can be defined as a set of procedures and programs that the government is taking in order to work on improving the performance of the national economy, and the pursuit of the reform of any internal or external imbalances, in order to restore or enhance the stability of the economic activity in the country. As economic stability is considered one of the most important determinants of economic growth, development, and it is a crucial element in any competitive economy.
Based on above target, in this dissertation, the researcher studied the theoretical base of different economic stabilization policies, according to different schools of thought, reflecting thoughts and opinions of those schools in the real world in light of the countries’ experiences, aiming to reach if there is an optimal combination of economic policies that can be pursued to achieve economic stability.
In this study, the researcher studied different programs and policies of reform and economic stability, which has been divided into two main groups; the first one is called orthodox economic policies & second one is called heterodox economic policies. It was analyzed the theoretical background combined with an assessment of its performance in practice by countries that have pursued such policies and programs.
In light of the importance of building a quantitative framework that links between the various sectors of the overall economy, so as it can be used as a tool to evaluate the economic performance on the one hand, and being used to determine & quantify the economic targets in a coherent context on the other hand. The researcher has presented using financial programming as one of the analytical tools that support decision-makers in the field of determine the monetary and financial objectives in quantitative terms, and that will contribute to the achievement of macroeconomic stability and maintain it, as it is one of the basic requirements of successful economic growth, and in which they can provide a coherent framework and balanced link between macroeconomic objectives and instruments available.
The researcher studied & analyzed that suggested methodology in both theory and practice, in order to build and apply financial programming models on the four economic sectors of the Egyptian economy (the real sector, monetary sector, external sector, financial sector and the government).
In order to achieve the above mentioned goals, the researcher used the descriptive/ analytical methods to present the proposal to use the financial programming framework for quantitative analysis of economic performance, setting quantitative targets for macroeconomic indicators, through the analysis and of various dimensions of financial programming both in theory and practice,
The researcher has studied and analyzed the theoretical foundations of the policies to achieve economic stability, and their applicability in the real world through analyzing the experiences of number of countries in the field of economic policy-making and economic stability.
The researcher used the methods of time series analysis & simple econometrics technique to set number of required quantitative targets proposed in the financial program, relying on international databases such as the Economist intelligence unit database in order to obtain the necessary data for Egypt during the period (1980-2014), to be used in building number of economic models for some of the variables used in the preparation of financial program for Egypt.
Hence, it has been used financial programming framework in the proposal for a financial program for the Egyptian economy, a program that takes into account the most important imbalances currently faced by the economy, and develop a set of quantitative targets that are consistent for a number of high priority economic variables, and compared those goals to other official economic objectives announced by the government in Egypt. The study also presented a proposal for the institutional structure proposed for the implementation of that methodology and its use in economic policy-making, under the umbrella of the Central Bank of Egypt, as it is responsible for monetary stability, and banking stability, that can only be achieved through the realization of macroeconomic stability as a whole, especially with the fact that the Central Bank has many channels of communication and coordination with the rest of the government’s institutions.
Keywaords: Macreconomic stability, Economic Growth, Economic Policies, Finaincial Programing, Economic Reforms.