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العنوان
ASSESSMENT OF THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF SEA LEVEL RISE ON THE COSTAL ZONE OF THE STATE OF KUWAIT/
المؤلف
Redha, Ali Hassan Fathalla.
هيئة الاعداد
باحث / Ali Hassan Fathalla Redha
مشرف / Mohamed Ezz El-Din El Raey
مشرف / Mohamed Adel Yahya
مشرف / Mohamed Gharib El Malky
تاريخ النشر
2015.
عدد الصفحات
212p. :
اللغة
الإنجليزية
الدرجة
الدكتوراه
التخصص
العلوم البيئية (متفرقات)
تاريخ الإجازة
1/1/2015
مكان الإجازة
جامعة عين شمس - معهد البيئة - العموم البيئية
الفهرس
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Abstract

The climate change (CC) and related potential sea level rise
(SLR) becomes a global issue and considered as a real challenge
all over the world. This study aims to assess the potential impact
of the expected SLR due to climate change on the coastal areas
of the state of Kuwait and how existing coastal facilities and
futuredevelopment projects may be affected. And ultimately
propose a strategy and plans for adaptation to SLR. To achieve
the main objective of this study, the scientific techniques of the
geographic information systems (GIS) coupled with remote
sensing (RS) were utilized to collect, analyze, and model the
relevant data to build flooding model application. Five (1, 2, 3, 4
and 5 meters) SLR scenarios were developed to examine the
potential impacts of SLR on the coastline of Kuwaiti
governorates and Islands (Warba, Bubiyan and Faylakah).
In this study the urbanization trend in Kuwait coastline was
identified using historical Land sat imagery dated 1990, 2001 and
2006 and historical imagery from Google Earth dated 2002, 2006
and 2013. Also, the tourist maps (urban areas) data, in two
different dates; 1999 and 2004 was used, in addition to the field
survey. It was shown that the anthropogenic changes are
significant in the form of residential areas such as Jaber Al Ahmad, North West Al-Sulibikhat Area and Sabah AL-Ahmad
Marine City (The Pearl Lagoons).
After applying the flooding scenario for a potential SLR of 1
meter to determine the most vulnerable areas, It was found that
there are three low-lying coastal areas at risk, Zone (A): Warba,
Bubiyan and Failaka Islands, Zone (B): Al- Sabiyah area and
north Kuwait bay and Zone (C): Bnaider, Al-Zour and Al-
Kheran areas).
The results of estimating inundated areas in all Kuwaiti
governorates by different potential SLR scenarios indicate that
the AL- Jahra governorate will be the most impacted (59.93
km2) at 1meter SLR. Al-Ahmadi governorate will be the second
in losing its coastal area (17.7 km2). Finally, Al-Asimah
governorate will be the least under 1meter SLR (0.7 km2).
Also, the total area of the state of Kuwait that might be lost
under different SLR scenarios varies from 77.33 km2 due to 1 m
scenario to about 220.82 km2 due to 2 m scenario and 387.65km2
due to 3 m scenario. Also, it will reach about 578km2 due to 4m
scenario and it will reach maximum 656.05km2 under 5 m SLR
scenario.
Furthermore it was found that several vital installations will be
at risk due to 1 meter SLR scenario such as; Subiyah Thermal
Power Plant, Doha East Power and Water Station, Doha Port, North Shuaibapier port, Sabah Al-Ahmad Marine City(Pearl
Lagoons). In addition, 1 meter SLR scenario will have significant
impact on Kuwait coastal future development and on Boubyan
Island and its future developed projects such as; Mubark Al-
Kabeer reserve, Bubiyan Lagoon and Resorts. Finally, we used
the study results for 1 meter SLR scenarioalong with Land sat
satellite images (2006), urban and development projects map
(2013) and third master plan of Kuwait (2005) to propose a
strategy and plan for adaptation to the potential SLR on the
existing vital installations and to select the suitable sites for
future proposed facilities within Kuwait master plan.
It is recommended to consider the degree of inundation due to
different SLR scenario to ensure the security of existing vital
installations and sustainability of the future coastal development
activities in the state of Kuwait.